I’ll be honest, I didn’t think I’d have time to do this today as both tracks were holding inspections at 8-00am and I could not finalise the work I usually get done the night before!
I hate feeling rushed, it leads to mistakes and right now I feel the best thing to do today is not bet at all.
We have bad horses racing on very bad ground, both tracks omitting obstacles, and non-runners still filtering through as I type….just wholly unsatisfactory.
The horse I provided you with yesterday, that ran home second, was actually a winning race for subscribed members playing the dutch.
I genuinely believed MORTENS LEAM would win that race and he topped my figures:
(MMM), * – MORTENS LEAM….+13 – 2ND
H – HUGO’S REFLECTION….+10 – WON 11/2 > 9/2
* – SPIRITOFCHARTWELL….+7
* – SONOFTHEKING….-34
H – HIDDEN GLEN….-27
REMEMBER ME WELL….-38
My top two rated came home 2nd, 1st so, nothing wrong with my figures. MORTENS LEAM was also backed during the morning to win his race but he failed by a length to hold off my second highest rated, who was certainly helped by that first time headgear!
MORTENS LEAM looked the winner going over three out but made a mistake at the last and was just outstayed on there run-in getting done a length.
My top pair finished 23 lengths ahead of the third placed horse so as I say, those figures were spot on.
JOHN MORRIS JUMPING PROSPECTS (WINTER BOOK)
John leaves no stone unturned in his search for horses he believes you should have information on for the NH season and, having produced his autumn book, he then concentrates on visiting yards no other writer of such books will ever do.
In his winter book John has been to see Oliver Greenall, Tristan Davies and Toby Lawes, all up and coming yards that do brilliantly with the talent they currently have.
For instance, Tristan Davies ran his horses just 41 times in the 2018/2019 season but produced 13 winners and had 17 place.
Toby Lawes used to be at Seven Barrows, assistant trainer to Nicky Henderson and yesterday he sent out one that had caught my eye when I was Rating the race (in bold):
AVOIR DE SOINS….+8
(MMM), * – LOCHINVER (BF)….-14
(MMM) – CLONDAW ROBIN….-14
H – RAHLAH….-40
3 – MOONLIT SEA….-40
T – MARLEY FIRTH….-40
Here we backed another winner in the shape of CLONDAW ROBIN @ 11/2, who had been available at 11/1 earlier in the day and was advised to my subscribed membership as a Morning Market Mover (MMM).
But it was not lost on me that the Lawes trained runner was backed into favouritism and ran a cracker to finish third on debut for the yard. John tells you more about this horse, in his winter book.
John’s work is worth every penny asked for it because he knows his stuff, is “in” at many yards and understands the game perfectly.
You can get hold of a copy by clicking here
CHELTENHAM THIS SATURDAY
I’m heading south for a day of racing and if you are going yourself, I’d love to meet you and say hello. A few members are already booked to go and we’ll have a great day out, I’m sure.
This will be the first of many such days as we build up to our Clover Club days out, at which we’ll be presenting cheques to those charities we support.
Let me know if you are going and I’ll let you know where we might meet up.
Today I suggest we do not try and nail our colours to the mast of any particular horse as right now we have no idea how bad the ground will be riding, the final make and shape of the fields or how many obstacles might yet be omitted.
Have a great day and back tomorrow with, hopefully, something!
Have a great day!!