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Overnight Market Movers

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Well clearly a lot more to it than just a move in the market Ron. Lots of them have been small where I would have thought 'nothing to see here' in ways of significance, but I'm guessing you apply some of the same criteria to MM as you do to ratings to narrow the selection

I've posted season end stats in the stats section, aswell as putting up the season by season summary, though these are all over the place over the years for NH, which is why I observed NH harder to do well in with standard level stakes

The next thing is to try and get P/L for MM's but by applying 20/80 bets for all. I can only do that based on bf place prices given on timeform page, and I'll do that tp standard placings, rather than enhanced, and also even to short odds on pl prices even if it appears the price is too short to mke a profit when placing only, which was tactic AG advocated at times to eliminate total stake loss

So, I have gone over the O/N MM's as a 20/80 play. Recorded to bf SP and to traditional place arrangements rather than any enhanced places or difference in their place SP to reflect that

This confirms the straight win strategy as best

All- 166(303)/578 +120.99pts, +14.75pts as 20/80 play

Rated 61(122)/256 +49.81pts, +14.7pts as 20/80 play

 

The morning movers will be done, but frankly this is taking some time, and will take longer by reworking as 20/80 play as well as place only play

Hi Gary

so that's 166 winners, 303 placed(incl the 166) out of 578 selections ?

yes

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